Weekly Market Recap – February 4, 2022

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Weekly Market Recap – February 4, 2022

The U.S. Treasury Department reported on Tuesday that the national debt has surpassed $30 trillion. Monthly economic statistics compared with prior levels, were as follows: the Chicago purchasing managers index rose to 65.2 vs. 64.3, construction spending +0.2% vs. +0.6%, factory orders -0.4% vs. +1.8%, job openings 10.9 million vs. 10.8 million, job quits 4.3 million vs. 4.5 million. Non-farm payrolls were 467,000 vs. 510,000. The December number of 510,000 was a revision from the 199,000 originally reported. In addition, the November number was revised to 647,000 from 249,000. Together, this updated data extrapolates to 6.6 million jobs returning during the period from January 2020 through January 2021, amounting to 87% of the jobs lost since the start of the pandemic. The January unemployment rate rose 4.09% vs. December’s 3.9% increase. Weekly initial jobless claims were 238,000 vs. 261,000.

Meta, the stock formerly known as Facebook, fell more than 26% on Thursday. This loss, the largest one-day drop in U.S. stock market history, amounted to nearly $250 billion. By Friday’s close, investors had regained some composure, and the weekly change for the broad indices we track was a bit on the plus side. The DJIA ended the week at 35,089.74 (+1.0%), the S&P 500 finished at 4,500.53 (+1.5%), and the NASDAQ Composite closed at 14,098.01 (+2.4%). CBOE’s VIX settled at 23.22 (-16.1%), and the U.S Dollar Index slid 1.8%, ending at 95.47 on Friday. The commodities in the S&P GSCI futures portfolio kept to their steady uptrend, going out at 643.01 (+3.7%).

Precious and base metal futures were mixed. Their closing prices and percentage movements were as follows: gold at $1,807.80 (+1.2%), silver at $22.475 (+0.8%), platinum at $1,024.20 (+1.7%), palladium at $2,290.70 (-3.6%), copper at $4.4875 (+4.1%) and aluminum at $3,074.00 (-0.3%).

On the energy futures charts, strength persisted in the petroleum sector. For the week, NYMEX WTI leaped to $92.31 per barrel, up 6.3%. ICE Brent rallied to 93.27 (+5.8%). U.S. refined products also rose: heating oil gained 6.0%, closing the week at $2.8751, and RBOB gasoline added 5.5% to $2.6785 per gallon. Natural gas soared during the first few days of the week, hitting prices not seen in three months, then headed south as the U.S. temperature forecasts for mid to late February returned to normal. Nearby futures closed at $4.572 per mmBtu (-1.4%).

Of the nine agricultural contract prices we report, seven rose and two retreated. Those in the red were: corn at $6.20½ (-2.4%) and wheat at $7.63¼ (-2.9%). The gainers were: soybeans at $15.53½ (+5.7%), coffee at $2.4185 (+2.5%), sugar at 18.23¢ (+0.2%), cocoa at $2,668 (+7.0%), cotton at 126.74¢ (+2.4%), live cattle at 146.875 (+2.6%) and lean hogs, which skyrocketed 13.8% into triple digits, closed at 100.075, a new high for the April contract on strong fundamentals.

 

Futures Referenced in Market Recap

Exchange Commodity Contract Month
CME Live Cattle April
CME Lean Hogs April
CBT Soybeans March
CBT Corn March
CBT Wheat March
ICE Coffee March
ICE Cocoa March
ICE Sugar March
ICE Cotton March
ICE Brent Crude April
NYMEX WTI Crude March
NYMEX ULSD (Heating Oil) March
NYMEX RBOB (Gasoline) March
NYMEX Natural Gas April
NYMEX Platinum April
NYMEX Palladium March
COMEX Gold April
COMEX Silver March
COMEX Copper March
LME Aluminum 3 Mo. Forward

 

Current Standings​

2021 World Cup Championship of Futures Trading®
RANK NAME NET RETURN LOCATION
1 Stefano Serafini 223.7% Italy
2 Marek Chrastina 163.7% Slovakia
3 Allen Swiontek 125.1% USA
4 Jianzheng Li 123.6% USA
5 Marco Vironda Gambin 116.1% Italy

January 1, 2022 – May 19, 2022


2021 World Cup Championship of Forex Trading®​
RANK NAME NET RETURN LOCATION
1 Patrick Nill 107.6% Germany
2 K. Takegawa 74% Japan
3 Eik Baumgarten 67% Germany
4 Kenji Sasaki 60.2% Japan
5 Thomas Helling 54.4% Germany

January 1, 2022 – May 19, 2022


2020-2021 Global Cup Trading Championship​
RANK NAME NET RETURN LOCATION DIVISION
1 Kevin Stufflebeam 583.1% USA Futures
2 Antonio Ferlito 132.7% Italy Futures
3 Patrick Nill 94.5% Germany Forex
4 Brent Carlile 64.5% Netherlands Futures
5 Philipp Kozalla 64.1% Germany Futures

June 1, 2021 – May 19, 2022

Trading futures and forex involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. World Cup Championship (WCC ) accounts do not necessarily represent all the trading accounts controlled by a given competitor. WCC competitors may control accounts that produce results substantially different than the results achieved in their WCC accounts. WCC entrants may trade more than one account in the competition. CME Group is the trademark of CME Group, Inc. The Globe logo is a trademark of Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Inc.

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