Weekly Market Recap – February 11, 2022

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Weekly Market Recap – February 11, 2022

Tensions over Ukraine have continued to rise as Russia has increased its military presence in Belarus. A Canadian judge has ordered an end to the blockade at the Ambassador Bridge border crossing by truckers protesting COVID-19 mandates; the demonstration is impacting an estimated $400 million per day in import/export transactions. The Biden administration indicated it would scale back Trump-era tariffs on Japanese steel.

Data released on Thursday for the consumer price index indicates the largest (+7.5% vs. 7.0%) annual CPI rise since 1982. Other statistical economic data, compared with previous levels, were as follows: consumer credit $19 billion vs. $39 billion, the trade balance (deficit) was -$80.7 billion vs. -$79.3 billion, and a revision in wholesale inventories showed a 2.2% increase in December vs. November’s 2.5%. For the first time since the pandemic began, the federal budget had a surplus (+$119 billion in January vs. -$163 billion in December). Weekly initial jobless claims were 223,000 vs. 239,000.

The yield on the 10-year T-Note topped 2.0% for the first time since July 2019. Falling prices in tech and communication shares pressured equities. All three stock indices that we monitor declined for the week. The NASDAQ Composite had a 2.2% down-move to 13,791.15. The S&P 500 closed at 4,418.64 (-1.8%), and the DJIA lost only 1.0%, ending at 34,738.06 Friday. A rising CBOE VIX accompanied the sell-off in stocks; the volatility benchmark jumped 17.8% to 27.36 at the close. The U.S Dollar Index firmed up to 96.03 with a 0.6% gain. S&P’s GSCI inched up to 643.08 (+0.01%).

Metal futures were mixed. Closing prices and percentage movements were as follows: gold at $1,842.10 (+1.9%), silver at $23.369 (+4.0%), platinum at $1,018.70 (-0.5%), palladium at $2,193.60 (-4.2%), copper at $4.5060 (+0.4%) and aluminum at $3,136.50 (+2.0%).

On the energy charts, the petroleum sector futures we track continued making new contract highs. For the week, NYMEX WTI rose to $93.10 per barrel, up 0.9%. ICE Brent rallied to 94.44 (+1.3%). Heating oil gained 1.2%, closing the week at $2.9109, and RBOB gasoline added 2.2% to $2.7386 per gallon. Natural gas moved sharply lower, as the front-month delivery price tumbled to $3.941 per mmBtu (-13.8%). Warmer than normal forecasts have continued for the northeast and Midwest.

Of the agricultural products covered in our recap, two decreased and seven increased. The negative moves were in cotton and live cattle. The former closed at 125.28¢ (-1.2%) and the latter settled at 146.175 (-0.5%). The winners were: soybeans at $15.83 (+1.9%), corn at $6.51 (+4.9%), wheat at $7.97¾ (+4.5%), coffee at $2.5165 (+4.1%), sugar at 18.26¢ (+0.2%), cocoa at $2,766 (+3.7%), and lean hogs, continuing to make new contract highs, ended the week at 102.225 (+2.1%).

 

Futures Referenced in Market Recap

Exchange Commodity Contract Month
CME Live Cattle April
CME Lean Hogs April
CBT Soybeans March
CBT Corn March
CBT Wheat March
ICE Coffee March
ICE Cocoa March
ICE Sugar March
ICE Cotton March
ICE Brent Crude April
NYMEX WTI Crude March
NYMEX ULSD (Heating Oil) March
NYMEX RBOB (Gasoline) March
NYMEX Natural Gas April
NYMEX Platinum April
NYMEX Palladium March
COMEX Gold April
COMEX Silver March
COMEX Copper March
LME Aluminum 3 Mo. Forward

 

Current Standings​

2021 World Cup Championship of Futures Trading®
RANK NAME NET RETURN LOCATION
1 Stefano Serafini 223.7% Italy
2 Marek Chrastina 163.7% Slovakia
3 Allen Swiontek 125.1% USA
4 Jianzheng Li 123.6% USA
5 Marco Vironda Gambin 116.1% Italy

January 1, 2022 – May 19, 2022


2021 World Cup Championship of Forex Trading®​
RANK NAME NET RETURN LOCATION
1 Patrick Nill 107.6% Germany
2 K. Takegawa 74% Japan
3 Eik Baumgarten 67% Germany
4 Kenji Sasaki 60.2% Japan
5 Thomas Helling 54.4% Germany

January 1, 2022 – May 19, 2022


2020-2021 Global Cup Trading Championship​
RANK NAME NET RETURN LOCATION DIVISION
1 Kevin Stufflebeam 583.1% USA Futures
2 Antonio Ferlito 132.7% Italy Futures
3 Patrick Nill 94.5% Germany Forex
4 Brent Carlile 64.5% Netherlands Futures
5 Philipp Kozalla 64.1% Germany Futures

June 1, 2021 – May 19, 2022

Trading futures and forex involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. World Cup Championship (WCC ) accounts do not necessarily represent all the trading accounts controlled by a given competitor. WCC competitors may control accounts that produce results substantially different than the results achieved in their WCC accounts. WCC entrants may trade more than one account in the competition. CME Group is the trademark of CME Group, Inc. The Globe logo is a trademark of Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Inc.

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