Weekly Market Recap – October 15, 2021

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Weekly Market Recap – October 15, 2021

Weekly initial jobless claims were 293,000, the lowest number of claims since the beginning of the pandemic. The prior week’s figure was 329,000. Monthly economic statistics, compared with previous levels, were as follows: retail sales 0.7% vs. 0.9%, business inventories 0.6% vs. 0.5%, and the consumer sentiment index at 71.4 vs. 72.8. Inflation was a topic of focus in the financial press, as the consumer price index rose 0.4% vs. 0.3%; yet producer prices gained 0.5% compared with the previous month (0.7%). The CPI’s longer-term advance is more alarming at +5.4%, the highest year-on-year jump since January 1991. The Social Security Administration’s benefit announcement for next year is indicative of the government’s response to the trend: 70 million retired Americans will see a 5.9% increase in 2022, the greatest rise in forty years.

On Friday, stocks were boosted by reports of better-than-expected third-quarter earnings. The weekly gain to 35,294.76 for the Dow Jones Industrial Average was its best weekly performance (+1.6%) since late June. The S&P 500 went out at 4,471.37 (+1.8%), and the NASDAQ Composite ended at 14,897.34 (+2.2%). The CBOE VIX eased 13.2% to 16.30. In currency markets, the US Dollar index closed at 93.95 (-0.2%). Commodities mostly gained, evidenced by the S&P GSCI (+2.6%), as Friday’s final print was 591.72, the highest since September 2014.

Precious and base metals advanced. Their closing prices and percentage gains were: gold at $1,768.30 (+0.6%), silver at $23.349 (+2.8%), platinum at $1,058.90 (+3.0%), palladium at $2,076.60 (+0.2%), copper at $4.7295 (+10.6%) and aluminum at $3,171.50 (+6.9%). Year to date, aluminum has risen 60.2% to its highest level since July 2008, when it hit the record price of $3,380.20 per metric ton.

The energy futures we monitor in our recap were mostly higher for the week. Crude gained a couple of dollars per barrel, as WTI closed at $82.28 (+3.7%) and ICE Brent hit $84.86 (+3.0%). Refined products followed suit, with ultra-low sulfur diesel settling at $2.5737 (+4.0%) and RBOB gasoline at $2.4864 per gallon (+5.1%). Natural gas weakened, with the NYMEX front-month settling at $5.410 per mmBtu (-2.8%).

The agricultural contracts on our tracking list of nine commodities ended the week with a score of two up, six down, and one sleeper. The gainers were: coffee at $2.0340 (+1.0%) and cattle at 130.975 (+0.6%). The losers were: soybeans at $12.17¾ (-2.0%), corn at $5.25¾ (-0.9%), sugar at 19.80¢ (-2.4%), cocoa at $2,607 (-5.2%), cotton at 107.33¢ (-3.0%), and hogs at 78.275 (-4.0%). The sleeper from the previous Friday was wheat at $7.34 (0.0%).


Futures Referenced in Market Recap

Exchange Commodity Contract Month
CME Live Cattle December
CME Lean Hogs December
CBT Soybeans November
CBT Corn December
CBT Wheat December
ICE Coffee December
ICE Cocoa December
ICE Sugar March
ICE Cotton December
ICE Brent Crude December
NYMEX WTI Crude November
NYMEX ULSD (Heating Oil) November
NYMEX RBOB (Gasoline) November
NYMEX Natural Gas November
NYMEX Platinum January
NYMEX Palladium December
COMEX Gold December
COMEX Silver December
COMEX Copper December
LME Aluminum 3 Mo. Forward


Current Standings​

2021 World Cup Championship of Futures Trading®
1 Kevin S McCormick 253.8% United States
2 Jürg Diemand 230.6% Switzerland
3 Marek Chrastina 164.4% Slovakia
4 Graeme Adams 116.8% New Zealand
5 Lisa Chen 80.9% Canada

January 1, 2021 – December 31, 2021 – Final

2021 World Cup Championship of Forex Trading®​
1 Lorenzo Misino 405.5% Italy
2 Patrick Nill 229.2% Germany
3 Raul Glavan 190.9% Germany
4 Sergey Shirko 183.5% Latvia
5 Cristian Franchi 151.6% Italy

January 1, 2021 – December 31, 2021 – Final

2020-2021 Global Cup Trading Championship​
1 Jan Smolen 247.6% Slovakia Futures
2 Stefan Seibert 222.7% Germany Futures
3 Marek Chrastina 182.4% Slovakia Futures
4 Patrick Nill 125.7% Germany Futures
5 Maxim Schulz 78.8% Germany Futures

June 1, 2020 – May 28, 2021 – Final

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