Weekly Market Recap – July 15, 2022

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Weekly Market Recap – July 15, 2022

Inflation topped the headlines this week as soaring U.S. consumer prices hit levels not seen in 40 years, thus prompting more concerns about the anticipated rise of interest rates.
COVID-19 is creeping back to the forefront in national news as cases are now multiplying in more than half the counties across the U.S. According to the CDC, Omicron sub-variant BA.5 is causing increased hospitalizations. The Washburn Fire in central California, having already scorched 4,700 acres, is renewing the threat of destroying the historic sequoia trees in the region. Unprecedented summer temperatures in Europe have caused scores of wildfires in Portugal, Spain, and France. President Biden took his first trip to the Middle East since taking office.

As noted above, the inflation news, embodied by the year-over-year CPI, was 9.1% higher than a year ago, compared with last month’s +8.6%. The monthly CPI was +1.3% vs. +1.0%. Other monthly economic statistics versus the prior levels were: retail sales +1.0% vs. -0.1%, industrial production -0.2% vs. 0.0%, capacity utilization 80.0% vs. 80.3%, and the consumer sentiment index was 51.1 vs. 50.0. Weekly initial jobless claims rose to 244,000 vs. 235,000. Continuing unemployment claims fell to 1.33 million vs. 1.37 million the previous week.

After declining four days in a row, the stock market indices we track snapped back on Friday. The weekly results showed the DJIA slipping to 31,288.26 (-0.2%), the S&P 500 coming off 0.9%, settling at 3,863.16, and the NASDAQ Composite going out at 11,452.42 (-1.6%). CBOE’s VIX declined a bit to 24.23 (-1.7%). In currencies, USD Index futures inched up to 107.911 (+1.0%). S&P’s GSCI lost 5.6%; the portfolio of commodity contracts closed at 658.47, its lowest end-of-week price since late February.
All of the metal futures we report dropped across the board. Settlements and corresponding percentage decreases were: gold at $1,703.60 (-2.2%), silver at $18.594 (-3.3%), platinum at $830.90 (-5.9%), palladium at $1,829.40 (-15.2%), copper at $3.2340 (-8.2%), and aluminum at $2,343.00 (-3.8%).

Energy contracts ended mixed after a volatile week. NYMEX WTI closed at $97.59 per barrel (-6.9%), with Brent crude at $101.16 (-5.5%). The refined products diverged as heating rose 0.7% to $3.6990, while RBOB gasoline slid 6.8% to $3.2132 per gallon, 20% from its high a month ago. The U.S. and European natural gas prices are still going in opposite directions, with the NYMEX price soaring to $7.016 per MMBtu (+16.3%), as the ICE Dutch gas price plunged to €159.567 per MWh (-8.9%).

For the nine agricultural markets that we monitor, the score was four higher and five lower. End-of-week results were: soybeans at $13.42¼ (-3.9%), corn at $6.03¾ (-3.2%), wheat at $7.76¾ (-12.9%), coffee at $1.9980 (-9.4%), sugar at 19.25¢ (+1.2%), cocoa at $2,321 (+0.1%), cotton at $88.71¢ (-7.2%), live cattle at 134.925 (+0.7%), and lean hogs at 109.825 (+0.6%).


Futures Referenced in Market Recap

Exchange Commodity Contract Month
CME Live Cattle August
CME Lean Hogs August
CBT Soybeans November
CBT Corn December
CBT Wheat September
ICE Coffee September
ICE Cocoa September
ICE Sugar October
ICE Cotton December
ICE Brent Crude September
ICE Dutch TTF Gas August
ICE USD Index September
NYMEX WTI Crude August
NYMEX ULSD (Heating Oil) August
NYMEX RBOB (Gasoline) August
NYMEX Natural Gas August
NYMEX Platinum October
NYMEX Palladium September
COMEX Gold August
COMEX Silver September
COMEX Copper September
LME Aluminum 3 Mo. Forward


Current Standings​

2022 World Cup Championship of Futures Trading®
1 Marek Chrastina 209.7% Slovakia
2 Stefano Serafini 194.4% Italy
3 Frantz Gheller 139% Canada
4 Marco Vironda Gambin 134.8% Italy
5 Fabio Viazzo 108.2% Italy

January 1, 2022 – August 9, 2022

2022 World Cup Championship of Forex Trading®​
1 K. Takegawa 187.5% Japan
2 Patrick Nill 113.4% Germany
3 Thomas Helling 111% Germany
4 Eik Baumgarten 97.2% Germany
5 Giacomo Merletti 31.8% Italy

January 1, 2022 – August 9, 2022

2021-2022 Global Cup Trading Championship​
1 Kevin Stufflebeam 392.9% USA Futures
2 Antonio Ferlito 133.2% Italy Futures
3 Patrick Nill 94.5% Germany Forex
4 Brent Carlile 66.3% Netherlands Futures
5 Philipp Kozalla 64.1% Germany Futures

June 1, 2021 – May 31, 2022 – Final Pending Audit

Trading futures and forex involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. World Cup Championship (WCC ) accounts do not necessarily represent all the trading accounts controlled by a given competitor. WCC competitors may control accounts that produce results substantially different than the results achieved in their WCC accounts. WCC entrants may trade more than one account in the competition. CME Group is the trademark of CME Group, Inc. The Globe logo is a trademark of Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Inc.

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