The S&P 500’s nine-week winning streak came to an end as a sharp Friday sell-off in semiconductor stocks weighed heavily on the broader market. The index finished the week down about 2.5%, while the NASDAQ fell 4.7% and the Dow slipped 0.2%.
The labor market continued to show resilience in May, with job growth exceeding economists’ expectations for a third consecutive month. The economy added 172,000 jobs, and upward revisions to prior data lifted the three-month average gain to 188,000 jobs—the strongest pace since March 2024.
Treasury yields resumed their upward climb after a brief pause, driven by the stronger-than-expected employment report. Short-term rates led the move higher, with the 2-year Treasury yield rising to 4.16% on Friday from 4.00% a week earlier.
Bond markets increasingly reflected expectations that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates before year-end. According to CME FedWatch, futures pricing on Friday implied a roughly 72% probability of a rate increase ranging from a quarter-point to three-quarters of a point by December. Markets assigned a 27% chance of no change and less than a 1% probability of a rate cut.
Corporate earnings remained a bright spot. FactSet reported that S&P 500 companies delivered average first-quarter earnings growth of 28.6% year over year, the strongest pace since the fourth quarter of 2021 and the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit gains. The information technology sector led all industries with earnings growth of 54.0%.
Oil prices remained volatile as developments in the Middle East continued to influence energy markets. U.S. crude briefly rose above $96 per barrel on Wednesday before settling near $90 on Friday, ending the week up almost 4%.
Investors will closely watch Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index report for signs of whether inflation continued to accelerate in June. April CPI showed inflation running at a 3.8% annual rate—the highest since May 2023—with energy costs accounting for roughly 40% of the increase from March. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, stood at 2.8%.